GW6 projected points
2.6
162nd of 320
Start probability
97%
Next fixture
Haul probability
2%
10+ points
Blank risk
72%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
1
Mean projection
2.6
90th percentile
5
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Brighton
10 Oct
Bournemouth
18 Oct
Leeds
25 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £4.9m
- Ownership
- 0.2%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.54
- Rank · midfielders
- 72nd of 138
Read the model’s player summary
Noah Sadiki (Sunderland, Midfielder, £4.9m) is projected 2.6 FPL points in Gameweek 6, ranking 162nd of 320 projected players and 72nd of 138 midfielders.
The model gives Sadiki a 97% chance of starting, effectively nailed. Haul odds (10+ points) are 2% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 72%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 1-5 points.
Next up: Brighton (H) in GW6 (2.6 xP), then Bournemouth (A) in GW7 (2.5 xP), then Leeds (H) in GW8 (2.8 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 2.5 | 1▼-1.5 | 73 | 98% | 1–4 |
| GW4 | 2.5 | 2▼-0.5 | 90 | 98% | 1–4 |
| GW5 | 2.4 | 2▼-0.4 | 67 | 98% | 1–4 |
| GW6 | 2.6latest | pending | — | 97% | 1–5 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW6
2.6
GW7
2.5
GW8
2.8
GW9
2.8
GW10
2.7
GW11
2.6
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 23 Sep · 04:07 UTC.