GW11 projected points
3.0
122nd of 320
Start probability
87%
Next fixture
Haul probability
4%
10+ points
Blank risk
66%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
3.0
90th percentile
7
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Ipswich Town
21 Nov
Sunderland
29 Nov
Fulham
3 Dec
Player context
- Price
- £4.3m
- Ownership
- 3%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.70
- Rank · defenders
- 36th of 115
- Clean sheet probability
- 29%
Read the model’s player summary
Andrew Robertson (Spurs, Defender, £4.3m) is projected 3.0 FPL points in Gameweek 11, ranking 122nd of 320 projected players and 36th of 115 defenders.
The model gives Robertson a 87% chance of starting, effectively nailed. Haul odds (10+ points) are 4% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 66%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-7 points.
Spurs keep a clean sheet in 29% of simulations this gameweek.
Next up: Ipswich Town (H) in GW11 (3.0 xP), then Sunderland (A) in GW12 (2.8 xP), then Fulham (H) in GW13 (3.0 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 2.7 | 1▼-1.7 | 29 | 92% | 0–6 |
| GW4 | 2.0 | 7▲+5.0 | 90 | 46% | 0–6 |
| GW5 | 2.6 | 4▲+1.4 | 90 | 73% | 0–6 |
| GW6 | 2.1 | 0▼-2.1 | 0 | 82% | 0–6 |
| GW7 | 3.8 | 5▲+1.2 | 68 | 81% | 0–8 |
| GW8 | 1.6 | 6▲+4.4 | 64 | 53% | 0–6 |
| GW9 | 3.5 | 8▲+4.5 | 76 | 84% | 0–7 |
| GW10 | 2.9 | pending | — | 90% | 0–6 |
| GW11 | 3.2latest | pending | — | 87% | 0–7 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW11
3.0
GW12
2.8
GW13
3.0
GW14
2.2
GW15
2.7
GW16
2.1
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 08 Nov · 05:15 UTC.