GW7 projected points
0.7
243rd of 320
Start probability
20%
Next fixture
Haul probability
1%
10+ points
Blank risk
93%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
0.7
90th percentile
2
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Newcastle
17 Oct
Man City
24 Oct
Fulham
31 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £4.4m
- Ownership
- 0.3%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.17
- Rank · defenders
- 92nd of 114
- Clean sheet probability
- 21%
Read the model’s player summary
Pau Torres (Aston Villa, Defender, £4.4m) is projected 0.7 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 243rd of 320 projected players and 92nd of 114 defenders.
The model gives Pau a 20% chance of starting, unlikely to start. Haul odds (10+ points) are 1% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 93%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-2 points.
Aston Villa keep a clean sheet in 21% of simulations this gameweek.
Next up: Newcastle (A) in GW7 (0.7 xP), then Man City (H) in GW8 (0.7 xP), then Fulham (H) in GW9 (0.9 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 3.4 | 0▼-3.4 | 0 | 94% | 1–7 |
| GW4 | 1.0 | 1▲+0.0 | 24 | 26% | 0–4 |
| GW5 | 1.0 | 0▼-1.0 | 0 | 25% | 0–2 |
| GW6 | 0.6 | pending | — | 15% | 0–1 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
0.7
GW8
0.7
GW9
0.9
GW10
0.7
GW11
0.9
GW12
0.9
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.