GW7 projected points
1.0
229th of 320
Start probability
14%
Next fixture
Haul probability
1%
10+ points
Blank risk
92%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
1.0
90th percentile
2
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Man Utd
18 Oct
Sunderland
25 Oct
Bournemouth
31 Oct
Player context
- Price
- £5.3m
- Ownership
- 0.4%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.18
- Rank · midfielders
- 103rd of 136
Read the model’s player summary
Brenden Aaronson (Leeds, Midfielder, £5.3m) is projected 1.0 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 229th of 320 projected players and 103rd of 136 midfielders.
The model gives Aaronson a 14% chance of starting, unlikely to start. Haul odds (10+ points) are 1% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 92%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-2 points.
Next up: Man Utd (H) in GW7 (1.0 xP), then Sunderland (A) in GW8 (0.9 xP), then Bournemouth (A) in GW9 (0.9 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 2.0 | 1▼-1.0 | 28 | 47% | 0–5 |
| GW4 | 1.8 | 1▼-0.8 | 18 | 40% | 0–4 |
| GW5 | 1.4 | 1▼-0.4 | 22 | 26% | 0–4 |
| GW6 | 0.9 | pending | — | 15% | 0–2 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
1.0
GW8
0.9
GW9
0.9
GW10
1.0
GW11
0.9
GW12
1.1
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.