GW11 projected points
2.5
165th of 320
Start probability
73%
Next fixture
Haul probability
3%
10+ points
Blank risk
69%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
2.5
90th percentile
6
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Coventry City
21 Nov
Hull City
29 Nov
Chelsea
2 Dec
Player context
- Price
- £4.4m
- Ownership
- 0.1%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.56
- Rank · defenders
- 53rd of 115
- Clean sheet probability
- 21%
Read the model’s player summary
Axel Disasi (Crystal Palace, Defender, £4.4m) is projected 2.5 FPL points in Gameweek 11, ranking 165th of 320 projected players and 53rd of 115 defenders.
The model gives Disasi a 73% chance of starting, a probable starter. Haul odds (10+ points) are 3% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 69%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-6 points.
Crystal Palace keep a clean sheet in 21% of simulations this gameweek.
Next up: Coventry City (A) in GW11 (2.5 xP), then Hull City (H) in GW12 (3.0 xP), then Chelsea (A) in GW13 (1.9 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW4 | 2.5 | -3▼-5.5 | 33 | 61% | 0–6 |
| GW5 | 0.0 | 00.0 | 0 | 0% | 0–0 |
| GW6 | 0.0 | 00.0 | 0 | 0% | 0–0 |
| GW7 | 0.0 | 00.0 | 0 | 0% | 0–0 |
| GW8 | 0.4 | 3▲+2.6 | 90 | 10% | 0–1 |
| GW9 | 1.7 | 3▲+1.3 | 90 | 56% | 0–6 |
| GW10 | 2.1 | pending | — | 76% | 0–6 |
| GW11 | 2.8latest | pending | — | 73% | 0–7 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW11
2.5
GW12
3.0
GW13
1.9
GW14
2.0
GW15
2.5
GW16
2.5
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 08 Nov · 05:15 UTC.