GW8 projected points
2.6
171st of 320
Start probability
54%
Next fixture
Haul probability
4%
10+ points
Blank risk
68%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
2.6
90th percentile
7
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Hull City
25 Oct
Nott'm Forest
31 Oct
Brighton
8 Nov
Player context
- Price
- £4.9m
- Ownership
- 0.1%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.53
- Rank · defenders
- 61st of 116
- Clean sheet probability
- 37%
Read the model’s player summary
Sepp van den Berg (Brentford, Defender, £4.9m) is projected 2.6 FPL points in Gameweek 8, ranking 171st of 320 projected players and 61st of 116 defenders.
The model gives Van den Berg a 54% chance of starting, a rotation risk. Haul odds (10+ points) are 4% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 68%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-7 points.
Brentford keep a clean sheet in 37% of simulations this gameweek.
Next up: Hull City (A) in GW8 (2.6 xP), then Nott'm Forest (H) in GW9 (2.4 xP), then Brighton (A) in GW10 (1.7 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 0.0 | 00.0 | 0 | 0% | 0–0 |
| GW4 | 0.0 | 00.0 | 0 | 0% | 0–0 |
| GW5 | 0.0 | 00.0 | 0 | 0% | 0–0 |
| GW6 | 0.0 | 00.0 | 0 | 0% | 0–0 |
| GW8 | 2.5latest | pending | — | 54% | 0–7 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW8
2.6
GW9
2.4
GW10
1.7
GW11
2.4
GW12
1.9
GW13
1.9
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 23 Oct · 04:57 UTC.