GW7 projected points
3.1
109th of 320
Start probability
83%
Next fixture
Haul probability
5%
10+ points
Blank risk
61%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
3.1
90th percentile
8
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Brentford
17 Oct
Brighton
25 Oct
Arsenal
1 Nov
Player context
- Price
- £5.4m
- Ownership
- 3%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.58
- Rank · defenders
- 39th of 114
- Clean sheet probability
- 27%
Read the model’s player summary
Ronald Araujo (Liverpool, Defender, £5.4m) is projected 3.1 FPL points in Gameweek 7, ranking 109th of 320 projected players and 39th of 114 defenders.
The model gives Araujo a 83% chance of starting, a probable starter. Haul odds (10+ points) are 5% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 61%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-8 points.
Liverpool keep a clean sheet in 27% of simulations this gameweek.
Next up: Brentford (A) in GW7 (3.1 xP), then Brighton (H) in GW8 (3.0 xP), then Arsenal (H) in GW9 (2.6 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW7
3.1
GW8
3.0
GW9
2.6
GW10
3.0
GW11
2.7
GW12
2.8
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 11 Oct · 05:27 UTC.