GW9 projected points
1.7
211th of 320
Start probability
49%
Next fixture
Haul probability
2%
10+ points
Blank risk
81%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
1.7
90th percentile
4
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Chelsea
31 Oct
Aston Villa
8 Nov
Liverpool
22 Nov
Player context
- Price
- £4.7m
- Ownership
- 0.5%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.37
- Rank · midfielders
- 90th of 133
Read the model’s player summary
Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Man Utd, Midfielder, £4.7m) is projected 1.7 FPL points in Gameweek 9, ranking 211th of 320 projected players and 90th of 133 midfielders.
The model gives Andrey Santos a 49% chance of starting, more likely benched than starting. Haul odds (10+ points) are 2% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 81%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-4 points.
Next up: Chelsea (A) in GW9 (1.7 xP), then Aston Villa (H) in GW10 (1.9 xP), then Liverpool (A) in GW11 (1.7 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW3 | 1.6 | 1▼-0.6 | 6 | 38% | 0–4 |
| GW4 | 1.0 | 0▼-1.0 | 0 | 20% | 0–2 |
| GW5 | 0.2 | 0▼-0.2 | 0 | 5% | 0–0 |
| GW6 | 0.3 | 0▼-0.3 | 0 | 4% | 0–1 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW9
1.7
GW10
1.9
GW11
1.7
GW12
1.9
GW13
1.8
GW14
2.2
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 26 Oct · 05:12 UTC.