GW11 projected points
1.1
234th of 320
Start probability
11%
Next fixture
Haul probability
2%
10+ points
Blank risk
89%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
1.1
90th percentile
3
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Coventry City
21 Nov
Hull City
29 Nov
Chelsea
2 Dec
Player context
- Price
- £4.8m
- Ownership
- 0.1%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.23
- Rank · midfielders
- 104th of 135
Read the model’s player summary
Jefferson Lerma Solís (Crystal Palace, Midfielder, £4.8m) is projected 1.1 FPL points in Gameweek 11, ranking 234th of 320 projected players and 104th of 135 midfielders.
The model gives Lerma a 11% chance of starting, unlikely to start. Haul odds (10+ points) are 2% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 89%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-3 points.
Next up: Coventry City (A) in GW11 (1.1 xP), then Hull City (H) in GW12 (1.1 xP), then Chelsea (A) in GW13 (0.9 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW6 | 0.6 | 8▲+7.4 | 71 | 5% | 0–1 |
| GW7 | 0.5 | 1▲+0.5 | 37 | 5% | 0–1 |
| GW8 | 1.7 | 0▼-1.7 | 0 | 30% | 0–4 |
| GW9 | 1.0 | 1▲+0.0 | 2 | 16% | 0–2 |
| GW10 | 1.1 | pending | — | 12% | 0–2 |
| GW11 | 1.1latest | pending | — | 11% | 0–2 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW11
1.1
GW12
1.1
GW13
0.9
GW14
0.9
GW15
1.0
GW16
0.9
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 08 Nov · 05:15 UTC.