GW8 projected points
3.5
84th of 320
Start probability
92%
Next fixture
Haul probability
6%
10+ points
Blank risk
54%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
1
Mean projection
3.5
90th percentile
8
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Ipswich Town
23 Oct
Brentford
31 Oct
Man City
7 Nov
Player context
- Price
- £5.4m
- Ownership
- 0.5%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.65
- Rank · defenders
- 26th of 116
- Clean sheet probability
- 29%
Read the model’s player summary
Ousmane Diomande (Nott'm Forest, Defender, £5.4m) is projected 3.5 FPL points in Gameweek 8, ranking 84th of 320 projected players and 26th of 116 defenders.
The model gives Diomande a 92% chance of starting, effectively nailed. Haul odds (10+ points) are 6% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 54%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 1-8 points.
Nott'm Forest keep a clean sheet in 29% of simulations this gameweek.
Next up: Ipswich Town (A) in GW8 (3.5 xP), then Brentford (A) in GW9 (2.6 xP), then Man City (H) in GW10 (2.7 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW8 | 3.5latest | pending | — | 92% | 1–8 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW8
3.5
GW9
2.6
GW10
2.7
GW11
2.8
GW12
3.1
GW13
3.3
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 23 Oct · 04:57 UTC.