GW8 projected points
3.3
108th of 320
Start probability
74%
Next fixture
Haul probability
6%
10+ points
Blank risk
73%
2 points or fewer
Projected points range
10th percentile
0
Mean projection
3.3
90th percentile
9
10th–90th percentile interval. Outcomes can fall outside this range.
Next fixtures
Crystal Palace
25 Oct
Everton
2 Nov
Fulham
7 Nov
Player context
- Price
- £6.0m
- Ownership
- 0.1%
- Value · xPts per £m
- 0.55
- Rank · forwards
- 18th of 31
Read the model’s player summary
Matias Fernandez-Pardo (Newcastle, Forward, £6.0m) is projected 3.3 FPL points in Gameweek 8, ranking 108th of 320 projected players and 18th of 31 forwards.
The model gives Fernandez-Pardo a 74% chance of starting, a probable starter. Haul odds (10+ points) are 6% and blank risk (2 or fewer) is 73%, a low haul chance; the 10th-90th percentile range is 0-9 points.
Next up: Crystal Palace (A) in GW8 (3.3 xP), then Everton (H) in GW9 (3.3 xP), then Fulham (A) in GW10 (3.0 xP).
Projection record
How projections are scored →| GW | Snapshot xPts | Actual | Minutes | Start% | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GW8 | 3.3latest | pending | — | 74% | 0–9 |
Rows marked "latest" are the latest nightly snapshot for a gameweek still ahead of its deadline; once the deadline passes the row is the final pre-deadline projection of record, scored against official points when the gameweek finishes.
Projection by gameweek
GW8
3.3
GW9
3.3
GW10
3.0
GW11
2.9
GW12
2.7
GW13
3.3
Gameweeks beyond the next ride un-anchored fixture strength and are less certain.
Projection from the Metis match model via a simulated minutes/goals/assists/clean-sheet engine. Last updated 23 Oct · 04:57 UTC.