Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club — La Liga forecast, Saturday, 10 October 2026
La Liga·Saturday, 10 October 2026·12:00
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 2.93 |
| Draw | 3.45 |
| Athletic Club | 2.39 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 27 Sep · 03:48 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Rayo Vallecano
| 15 Aug | A | vs Sevilla | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Aug | H | vs Alaves | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Barcelona | 2–5 | L |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Santander | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Real Madrid | 1–4 | L |
Athletic Club
| 22 Aug | H | vs Sevilla | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Aug | A | vs Barcelona | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Celta Vigo | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Atletico Madrid | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Elche | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Rayo Vallecano (Home · 3 matches) | Athletic Club (Away · 2 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 0.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.33 | 2.00 |
Home stats use Rayo Vallecano's home record; away stats use Athletic Club's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.