Malaga vs Real Sociedad — La Liga forecast, Sunday, 18 October 2026
La Liga·Sunday, 18 October 2026·16:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Malaga | 3.23 |
| Draw | 3.49 |
| Real Sociedad | 2.20 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 05 Oct · 03:54 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Malaga
| 19 Aug | A | vs Atletico Madrid | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | vs La Coruna | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Real Madrid | 0–4 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Levante | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Celta Vigo | 1–1 | D |
Real Sociedad
| 21 Aug | A | vs Real Betis | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Aug | A | vs Real Madrid | 1–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Espanyol | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Sept | H | vs Celta Vigo | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Sept | A | vs Elche | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Malaga (Home · 3 matches) | Real Sociedad (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 33.3% | 75.0% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.00 | 4.00 |
Home stats use Malaga's home record; away stats use Real Sociedad's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.