Malaga vs Athletic Club — La Liga forecast, Saturday, 28 November 2026
La Liga·Saturday, 28 November 2026·15:15
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Malaga | 4.47 |
| Draw | 3.83 |
| Athletic Club | 1.77 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 15 Nov · 04:31 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Malaga
| 19 Aug | A | vs Atletico Madrid | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | vs La Coruna | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Real Madrid | 0–4 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Levante | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Celta Vigo | 1–1 | D |
Athletic Club
| 22 Aug | H | vs Sevilla | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Aug | A | vs Barcelona | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Celta Vigo | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Atletico Madrid | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Elche | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Malaga (Home · 6 matches) | Athletic Club (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 83.3% | 40.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 20.0% |
| Clean sheet | 16.7% | 40.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 2.00 |
Home stats use Malaga's home record; away stats use Athletic Club's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.