Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid — La Liga forecast, Saturday, 17 October 2026
La Liga·Saturday, 17 October 2026·12:00
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Espanyol | 4.14 |
| Draw | 3.70 |
| Atletico Madrid | 1.85 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 04 Oct · 04:06 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Espanyol
| 16 Aug | H | vs Levante | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Real Madrid | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Real Sociedad | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Sevilla | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Osasuna | 2–0 | W |
Atletico Madrid
| 19 Aug | H | vs Malaga | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Villarreal | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Sevilla | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Athletic Club | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Real Sociedad | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Espanyol (Home · 4 matches) | Atletico Madrid (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 75.0% | 33.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 75.0% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 3.33 |
Home stats use Espanyol's home record; away stats use Atletico Madrid's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.