Wisla vs Wieczysta Krakow — Ekstraklasa result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 29 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 1.2 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Wisla Krakow
52%
pick · result
Draw
23%
Wieczysta Krakow
25%
Final score
2–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Wisla Krakow win 51.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Wisla Krakow win. Expected goals 1.60–1.09 against 2–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–0 (11.4%), 1–1 (11.0%), 2–1 (10.9%). It finished 2–0.
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Wisla
| 26 Jul | H | vs GKS Katowice | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | A | vs Piast Gliwice | 3–4 | L |
| 7 Aug | H | vs Wisla Plock | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Gornik Zabrze | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Pogon Szczecin | 2–2 | D |
Wieczysta Krakow
| 24 Jul | A | vs Radomiak Radom | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | vs Lech Poznan | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Piast Gliwice | 4–3 | W |
| 21 Aug | A | vs Cracovia | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Wisla | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Wisla (Home · 6 matches) | Wieczysta Krakow (Away · 8 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 62.5% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 62.5% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.67 | 3.50 |
Home stats use Wisla's home record; away stats use Wieczysta Krakow's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.