Slask Wroclaw vs Wieczysta Krakow — Ekstraklasa forecast, Sunday, 25 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Slask Wroclaw
32%
Draw
25%
Wieczysta Krakow
43%
Expected goals
1.35–1.53
Slask Wroclaw · Wieczysta Krakow
Wieczysta Krakow win 43% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.6%), 1–2 (10.0%), 0–1 (8.7%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 58% of simulations.
Those three cover 30% of outcomes; the other 70% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Wieczysta Krakow win is 1–2 (10.0%).
Slask Wroclaw score at least twice in 39%; Wieczysta Krakow in 46%.
Scoreline distribution
Wieczysta Krakow goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1 | 8.7 | 6.9 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 6.3 | 11.6 | 10.0 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.2 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Slask Wroclaw goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market reference | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| Metis Forecast | 32% | 25% | 43% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw | 2.94 |
| Draw | 3.79 |
| Wieczysta Krakow | 2.21 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 23 Oct · 04:31 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Slask Wroclaw
| 25 Jul | A | vs Gornik Zabrze | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Rakow | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Cracovia | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Zaglebie | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Widzew Lodz | 3–3 | D |
Wieczysta Krakow
| 24 Jul | A | vs Radomiak Radom | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | vs Lech Poznan | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Piast Gliwice | 4–3 | W |
| 21 Aug | A | vs Cracovia | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Wisla | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Slask Wroclaw (Home · 5 matches) | Wieczysta Krakow (Away · 7 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 80.0% | 71.4% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.40 | 3.71 |
Home stats use Slask Wroclaw's home record; away stats use Wieczysta Krakow's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.