Rapid Vienna vs WSG Tirol — Austrian Bundesliga result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 18 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 14.0 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Rapid Vienna
60%
pick · result
Draw
23%
WSG Tirol
17%
Final score
3–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Rapid Vienna win 60.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Rapid Vienna win. Expected goals 2.01–1.00 against 3–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.7%), 2–0 (10.0%), 2–1 (10.0%). It finished 3–0.
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Rapid Vienna
| 2 Aug | H | vs SCR Altach | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs SV Ried | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Grazer AK | 8–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Sturm Graz | 3–1 | W |
| 2 Sept | A | vs Salzburg | 1–5 | L |
WSG Tirol
| 1 Aug | H | vs Sturm Graz | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Aug | A | vs SCR Altach | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Salzburg | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | vs A. Lustenau | 4–0 | W |
| 2 Sept | A | vs Austria Vienna | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Rapid Vienna (Home · 6 matches) | WSG Tirol (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 83.3% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.33 | 2.83 |
Home stats use Rapid Vienna's home record; away stats use WSG Tirol's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.