Group stage·21 June

The model's read

Home
60%
Draw
23%
Away
18%
UruguayExpected goalsCape Verde Islands
1.83 xG0.82 xG
Uruguay Elo
1724
Cape Verde Islands Elo
1541
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS
44%

Model vs market

Market odds aren't available for this fixture yet — they publish closer to kickoff.

Model favours Uruguay (60%).

Match preview

Uruguay enter as clear favourites against Cape Verde Islands, with the model's strength ratings showing a comfortable gap in their favour. The South American side's established pedigree and proven tournament experience should translate into control of the match, allowing them to dictate tempo and territory throughout.

Cape Verde Islands face a steep test against a team substantially stronger on the model's assessment. Uruguay's superiority across the key metrics suggests they will likely dominate possession and create the clearer openings, leaving the Cape Verdeans to absorb pressure and look for opportunities on the counter. The model's read points to a one-sided affair.

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