Japan enter as clear favourites against Tunisia, with the model's strength ratings showing a comfortable gap between the sides. The data points to Japan controlling the tempo and creating the better opportunities through the match. Tunisia will need to be compact defensively and look to exploit transitions, but the model assesses them as the weaker outfit here and they face an uphill task to frustrate a Japan team that should impose its rhythm on proceedings. How Tunisia respond to sustained pressure will be key to their hopes of a competitive result.