Spain enter as clear favourites against Cape Verde Islands, with the model's strength ratings showing a comfortable gap between the two sides. The Spanish are expected to control possession and tempo, leveraging their technical superiority to dominate proceedings. Cape Verde will likely sit deep and look to be compact defensively, hoping to limit Spain's chances on the counter—a familiar underdog approach when facing a significantly stronger opponent.

The model sees this as a straightforward matchup where Spain's quality should prevail, though Cape Verde cannot be entirely ruled out if they remain disciplined and organised. Spain's task is to convert their expected dominance into a decisive result rather than allow the opposition any opportunity to frustrate them into a narrow victory.