The model's read
Home
67%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
SenegalExpected goalsIraq
2.04 xG0.65 xG
Senegal Elo
1785
Iraq Elo
1519
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS
39%
Model vs market
Market odds aren't available for this fixture yet — they publish closer to kickoff.
Model favours Senegal (67%).
Match preview
Senegal arrive as clear favourites against Iraq, with the model's strength ratings positioning them as a comfortably superior outfit. The West African side's technical quality and experience at this level should give them control of the match, allowing them to dictate tempo and territory throughout. Iraq will need to be organised defensively and clinical on the counter to stay competitive, but the gap in overall capability suggests Senegal should manage the tie with relative comfort if they perform to standard.
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