Croatia enter as clear favourites against Ghana, with the model's strength ratings placing them comfortably ahead. The gulf in quality should shape how this unfolds — expect Croatia to control possession and dictate tempo, using their technical superiority to create opportunities. Ghana will likely sit deeper and look to exploit transitions, but sustaining pressure against a more dominant opponent presents a significant challenge.

The data points to Croatia's advantage being decisive enough to translate into control of the match. How Ghana manages that defensive burden and whether they can catch Croatia on the break will determine whether this becomes a comfortable win or a competitive affair.