Group stage·20 June

The model's read

Home
72%
Draw
18%
Away
10%
BrazilExpected goalsHaiti
2.48 xG0.60 xG
Brazil Elo
1798
Haiti Elo
1467
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
36%

Model vs market

Market odds aren't available for this fixture yet — they publish closer to kickoff.

Model favours Brazil (72%).

Match preview

Brazil enter as clear favourites against Haiti, with the model's strength ratings indicating a comfortable gulf in quality between the two sides. The data points to a fixture where the Seleção should control possession and territory for large stretches, dictating the pace of play from midfield outward. Haiti will likely be forced into a reactive posture, defending deep and looking to exploit rare counter-attacking opportunities.

The model sees this as a mismatch in Brazil's favour, though Haiti's defensive organisation may keep the match competitive in stretches. Brazil's superiority in technical execution and creative options should prove decisive over the course of ninety minutes.

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