The model's read
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
16%
ArgentinaExpected goalsAlgeria
1.94 xG0.80 xG
Argentina Elo
1890
Algeria Elo
1690
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
44%
Model vs market
Market odds aren't available for this fixture yet — they publish closer to kickoff.
Model favours Argentina (62%).
Match preview
Argentina enter as clear favourites against Algeria in this World Cup opener. The model's strength ratings place the South Americans comfortably ahead, suggesting they should control possession and territory throughout. Algeria will need to be disciplined defensively and hunt for opportunities on the counter, but Argentina's superiority in personnel and tactical depth should be decisive. The hosts' experience at recent tournaments gives them an edge, though Algeria's defensive organisation could make this competitive in patches.
The model's read on every match, free. Get it in your inbox.