Amedspor vs Basaksehir — Süper Lig result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 32.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Amed
38%
pick · result
Draw
27%
Basaksehir
35%
Final score
5–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave an Amed win 38.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Amed win. Expected goals 1.41–1.37 against 5–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.8%), 2–1 (8.9%), 1–0 (8.2%). It finished 5–0.
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Amedspor
| 16 Aug | H | vs Erzurumspor | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Kocaelispor | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Trabzonspor | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Kasimpasa | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Basaksehir | 5–0 | W |
Basaksehir
| 16 Aug | H | vs Kocaelispor | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Trabzonspor | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Kasimpasa | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Galatasaray | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Amedspor | 0–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Amedspor (Home · 6 matches) | Basaksehir (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 25.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 83.3% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.83 | 2.50 |
Home stats use Amedspor's home record; away stats use Basaksehir's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.