Vicenza vs Cremonese — Serie B forecast, Sunday, 8 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Vicenza
32%
Draw
29%
Cremonese
39%
Expected goals
1.24–1.32
Vicenza · Cremonese
Cremonese win 39% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13.9%), 0–1 (10.0%), 1–2 (9.2%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
Those three cover 33% of outcomes; the other 67% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Vicenza score at least twice in 35%; Cremonese in 38%.
Scoreline distribution
Cremonese goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.9 | 10.0 | 6.8 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.7 | 13.9 | 9.2 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 5.8 | 7.0 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Vicenza goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Market reference | 32% | 29% | 39% |
| Metis Forecast | 32% | 29% | 39% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Vicenza
| 21 Aug | H | vs Catanzaro | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Avellino | 0–3 | L |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Virtus Entella | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Juve Stabia | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Verona | 1–2 | L |
Cremonese
| 22 Aug | A | vs Empoli | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Modena | 0–3 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Padova | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Cesena | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sept | H | vs Virtus Entella | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Vicenza (Home · 4 matches) | Cremonese (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 75.0% | 40.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 75.0% | 40.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 40.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.25 | 2.20 |
Home stats use Vicenza's home record; away stats use Cremonese's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.