Torino head into this Derby della Mole in decent home shape, with three wins from five at home and an attacking output that generates goals at both ends regularly. Their home BTTS rate of 61% sits well above the Serie A average of 45%, and they've conceded in 72% of home games, which speaks to a side that invites pressure. A mid-table finish looks likely for Torino, but derbies have a habit of distorting form.

Juventus arrive as the form side, unbeaten in four of their last five away fixtures and keeping clean sheets in 44% of road games this season. Their away BTTS rate of just 39% and O2.5 rate of 33% both fall well below the league average, pointing to a disciplined, low-block approach on the road.

The one recent H2H ended level, and given Juventus's defensive structure away from home, this looks tighter and lower-scoring than Torino's home stats might initially suggest. The visitors are the quality side here, but a narrow margin feels right.