Torino vs AS Roma — Serie A result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 14 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 8.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Torino
15%
Draw
22%
AS Roma
62%
pick · result
Final score
0–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave an AS Roma win 62.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an AS Roma win. Expected goals 0.94–2.02 against 0–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 0–2 (10.7%), 1–1 (10.7%), 1–2 (10.4%). It finished 0–2 — one of them.
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Torino
| 23 Aug | H | vs AC Milan | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Sassuolo | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Fiorentina | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sept | H | vs AS Roma | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Bologna | 1–1 | D |
AS Roma
| 24 Aug | H | vs Fiorentina | 4–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Lecce | 4–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Atalanta | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sept | A | vs Torino | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sept | H | vs Inter | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Torino (Home · 5 matches) | AS Roma (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 40.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 80.0% | 60.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 60.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.40 | 3.80 |
Home stats use Torino's home record; away stats use AS Roma's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.