Sassuolo head into this one in reasonable nick, having won three of their last five at home and sitting comfortably in ninth. Their home record this season reflects a side capable of scoring but equally vulnerable, averaging 1.3 goals at both ends. Lecce arrive in shakier shape, picking up just one win in their last five away from home and hovering above the drop zone in 17th, where every point carries serious weight.

The goals data here tells an interesting story. Lecce's away BTTS rate of 33% and Over 2.5 figure of just 28% both sit well below the Serie A average, suggesting they travel with a defensive-first approach that tends to keep games tight. Sassuolo's home numbers are similarly modest. The lone H2H meeting ended level, which adds further caution.

This looks like a lower-scoring affair than Sassuolo's mid-table status might imply, with Lecce likely to make life difficult and frustrate the hosts.