Sassuolo vs AC Milan — Serie A forecast, Sunday, 11 October 2026
Serie A·Sunday, 11 October 2026·16:00
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 4.03 |
| Draw | 3.68 |
| AC Milan | 1.88 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 28 Sep · 04:02 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Sassuolo
| 23 Aug | A | vs Atalanta | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Torino | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Bologna | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Juventus | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Sept | A | vs Monza | 1–2 | L |
AC Milan
| 23 Aug | A | vs Torino | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Venezia | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Juventus | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Lazio | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Lecce | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Sassuolo (Home · 2 matches) | AC Milan (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.00 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Sassuolo's home record; away stats use AC Milan's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.