Inter arrive at the Dall'Ara in commanding form, having dropped just one point across their last five away fixtures, and their defensive record on the road has been exceptional this season. Conceding fewer than a goal per away game while keeping a clean sheet in over half of those outings, they carry the hallmarks of a side that knows how to win ugly when required.

Bologna's home numbers tell a different story. Their BTTS rate of 28% and an over 2.5 rate of 33% sit well below the Serie A averages of 45% and 46% respectively, pointing to low-scoring affairs at the Dall'Ara. They average under a goal scored per home game, and their recent form — three defeats in five — does little to inspire confidence against the league leaders.

The limited head-to-head record favours Inter, and the data suggests this shapes up as a controlled away performance rather than an open contest. This looks like a game that plays into Inter's hands.