AC Milan vs Atalanta — Serie A forecast, Sunday, 18 October 2026
Serie A·Sunday, 18 October 2026·16:00
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.85 |
| Draw | 3.65 |
| Atalanta | 4.16 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 05 Oct · 03:54 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
AC Milan
| 23 Aug | A | vs Torino | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Venezia | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Juventus | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Lazio | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Lecce | 3–0 | W |
Atalanta
| 23 Aug | H | vs Sassuolo | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Bologna | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs AS Roma | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Cagliari | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Juventus | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | AC Milan (Home · 2 matches) | Atalanta (Away · 2 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.50 | 2.50 |
Home stats use AC Milan's home record; away stats use Atalanta's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.