Wolves sit bottom of the Premier League and their home record this season tells a damning story — averaging 1.9 goals conceded per game at Molineux while scoring just 1.1. Their recent five-game run of L W W D L offers little comfort given the context of their league position, and relegation pressure is firmly on. The one previous meeting this season ended in a Sunderland win, adding another layer of concern for the hosts.

Sunderland arrive in decent shape, winning three of their last five away from home, and their defensive solidity on the road stands out. A 25% clean sheet rate away and an average of just 0.6 goals scored tells you this is a side that travels conservatively and makes it hard to beat them.

The goal data is notable — Sunderland away games land well below the league average for both BTTS and Over 2.5. This looks tighter and lower-scoring than many might expect, with the visitors arguably undervalued as a mid-table side with nothing to fear.