**Sunderland vs Nottm Forest | Premier League | 24 April 2026**

Sunderland head into this on a mixed run — two wins from five at home but conceding in two of their last three. Their defensive record at the Stadium of Light has been solid overall, averaging under a goal conceded per game, and they'll feel confident against a Forest side that has struggled badly on the road, picking up just one win in their last five away fixtures.

Forest's away form is a real concern — leaking 1.5 goals per game on the road and keeping clean sheets rarely. That said, their attacking output away from home is decent enough to keep this competitive, and Nuno's side have shown they can grind out results when needed.

The data suggests this leans toward a low-scoring, tight affair. Sunderland's defensive structure at home has been disciplined, and Forest's travelling form points to a hosts' advantage here. This looks tighter than a mid-table clash might suggest.