๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier LeagueยทSunday, 30 August 2026ยท15:30
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Man Utd | 1.42 | 1.42 |
| Draw | 5.13 | 5.13 |
| Ipswich | 7.27 | 7.27 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketMan Utd
69%
Draw
18%
Ipswich
13%
Man Utd 2.19 xGexpected goals0.87 xG Ipswich
Man Utd win 69% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 2โ0 (11.7%).
Man Utd score at least twice in 65%; Ipswich in 21%.
2โ0 11.7%2โ1 10.7%1โ0 10.4%1โ1 8.7%3โ0 8.2%3โ1 7.5%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 10.4 | 8.7 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.7 | 10.7 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.2 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 2.6 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Man Utd goals ยท columns = Ipswich goals ยท % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score52%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Over 4.5 goals19%
Man Utd clean sheet42%
Ipswich clean sheet11%
Man Utd score 2+65%
Ipswich score 2+21%
Man Utd score 3+37%
Model vs market
| Source | Man Utd | Draw | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 65% | 22% | 13% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| Metis Forecast | 69% | 18% | 13% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Recent form
Man Utd
| 17 Aug | H | vs Arsenal | 0โ1 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Fulham | 1โ1 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Burnley | 3โ2 | W |
| 14 Sept | A | vs Man City | 0โ3 | L |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Chelsea | 2โ1 | W |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Man Utd (Home) | Ipswich (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 68.4% | โ |
| Over 2.5 rate | 57.9% | โ |
| Clean sheet | 21.1% | โ |
| Avg goals | 3.32 | โ |
Home stats use Man Utd's home record; away stats use Ipswich's away record this season.