Man City head into this one in strong shape, having won three of their last five at home, and their attacking numbers back that up with an average of 2.4 goals scored per home game. Their defensive record is equally impressive, keeping clean sheets in nearly half of their home fixtures, well below the league average for goals conceded. Table-topping form and a controlled style make them a tough proposition for any visiting side.

Brentford have been frustratingly consistent in one sense, drawing all five of their last away matches. They travel without a loss but also without a win, suggesting a pragmatic, defensively-minded approach on the road. Their away BTTS and Over 2.5 rates both sit notably below the league average, pointing to low-scoring, compact performances.

The data suggests this leans toward a City-controlled afternoon with limited Brentford ambition going forward. The visitors look capable of making it scrappy, but this feels like a match where the hosts find a way through.