Liverpool
vs
11:30
5th vs 8th
Chelsea
Match preview
Liverpool come into this in inconsistent form, winning just two of their last five while sitting fifth in the table โ a disappointing position for a side with their resources. Chelsea, however, are in wretched away form, losing all five of their last road trips, which makes their visit to Anfield a tough ask regardless of Liverpool's own struggles.
The goal data is the most compelling angle here. Chelsea's away matches have produced over 2.5 goals in 76% of games โ well above the league average of 54% โ and both teams have scored in 65% of those fixtures. Liverpool's home record also shows BTTS in 62% of matches, above the 55% league average. Both defences have shown vulnerability, with Chelsea conceding 1.4 per away game and Liverpool shipping 1.1 at home.
The sole H2H meeting this season went Chelsea's way, which adds a layer of intrigue. But given Chelsea's dire away run, this looks like a game where Liverpool should find a way through โ though goals at both ends look likely.
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Liverpool
| 15 Aug | H | vs Bournemouth | 4โ2 | W |
| 25 Aug | A | vs Newcastle | 3โ2 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Arsenal | 1โ0 | W |
| 14 Sept | A | vs Burnley | 1โ0 | W |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Everton | 2โ1 | W |
Chelsea
| 17 Aug | H | vs Crystal Palace | 0โ0 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | vs West Ham | 5โ1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Fulham | 2โ0 | W |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Brentford | 2โ2 | D |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Man Utd | 1โ2 | L |
Head to head
| 4 Oct 25 | ChelseavsLiverpool | 2 โ 1 |
Liverpool: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Betting context
| Stat | Liverpool (Home) | Chelsea (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 62.5% | 64.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 76.5% |
| Clean sheet | 31.2% | 23.5% |
| Avg goals | 2.88 | 3.18 |
Home stats use Liverpool's home record; away stats use Chelsea's away record this season.