Liverpool head into this one in reasonable nick, with three wins from their last five, though a defeat and draw late in that run hints at some inconsistency. Brentford's away form is patchy at best — one win in five on the road — and they concede an average of 1.7 goals per away game, which should suit a Liverpool side that scores 1.8 per home match.

The goal data tells an interesting story. Liverpool's home BTTS rate sits at 67%, well above the league average of 55%, suggesting they tend to leave games open even when winning. Brentford, however, have kept it tight on their travels, with a BTTS rate of just 44% away from home — well below the league norm.

The one previous meeting ended in a Liverpool defeat, a curious footnote, but the overall picture here favours the hosts. Brentford look capable of nicking a goal, but Liverpool's attacking output at home makes this look like a match where goals are likely regardless of the result.