Leeds head into this clash in decent home form, picking up three wins from their last five at Elland Road, but they face a Brighton side that has been consistently dangerous on their travels, winning four of their last five away fixtures. The solitary head-to-head meeting ended in a defeat for Leeds, and there is little in the recent data to suggest that pattern will reverse here.

Tactically, Brighton's away record for goals conceded is a concern for Leeds, though Brighton have kept things tight on the road themselves, with a clean sheet rate matching Leeds's own. Interestingly, Brighton's away Over 2.5 rate sits at 44%, notably below the league average of 55%, hinting at a more contained style on their travels. Both sides sit around the league average for BTTS, so a cagey, low-scoring affair is plausible. This looks tighter than a mid-table versus top-half fixture might suggest, with Brighton's quality making them undervalued as the away side.