Both sides arrive at Craven Cottage in poor shape, with Fulham winning just one of their last five at home and Newcastle collecting only a point from their last four away from home. Neither team is carrying momentum into what is effectively a dead rubber, with both sides settled in mid-table obscurity heading into the final weeks of the season.

Defensively, this one looks tight on paper. Fulham have conceded an average of 1.1 goals per home game while Newcastle have managed just 0.9 away, suggesting a low-scoring affair is plausible. Both sides sit right at the league average for BTTS and over 2.5 goals, so there is nothing in the data to push strongly in either direction on the goals front.

The limited head-to-head record offers little, but the combination of poor form on both sides and low attacking output from Newcastle on the road means this looks tighter and more attritional than a straightforward home win narrative implies.