Coventry vs Hull — Premier League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 29 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · under an hour before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Coventry
41%
top pick
Draw
28%
Hull
31%
result
Final score
0–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Hull win 31.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Coventry win. Expected goals 1.45–1.24 against 0–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.2%), 1–0 (8.9%), 2–1 (8.8%). It finished 0–1.
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Coventry
| 21 Aug | A | vs Arsenal | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Hull | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Man City | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Brighton | 0–5 | L |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Nottm Forest | 1–0 | W |
Hull
| 22 Aug | H | vs Man Utd | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Coventry | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Aston Villa | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Chelsea | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Newcastle | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Coventry (Home · 2 matches) | Hull (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 0.0% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 2.67 |
Home stats use Coventry's home record; away stats use Hull's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.