Brighton head into this one in decent home shape, taking ten points from their last five at the Amex, though they did slip up in that run. Man United arrive with real momentum, having lost just once in their last five away from home, and their away record this season points to an open game — they have kept a clean sheet in just 17% of away fixtures, well below the league average, while their BTTS rate of 78% on the road stands notably above the 55% league benchmark.

Brighton at home tend to be tighter, conceding under a goal per game on average and keeping things compact, but United's attacking output away from home complicates that picture. The one previous meeting this season went United's way, and with United sitting third and likely still pushing for a strong finish, they carry genuine purpose here.

This looks like a game with goals in it, and the visitors may be undervalued given their current trajectory.