## Brighton vs Chelsea | Premier League | April 21

Brighton arrive at the Amex in strong home form, winning four of their last five, and will fancy their chances against a Chelsea side that has been genuinely poor on the road — just one win in five away fixtures. The Seagulls have historically given Chelsea problems in this fixture, and their pressing structure tends to disrupt build-up heavy sides particularly effectively.

What stands out tactically is Chelsea's attacking output away from home; despite the poor results, they've regularly contributed to open, engaging games. Both sides show a strong tendency toward mutual scoring encounters, running well above the league average in that regard. The data suggests goals are likely here regardless of the final outcome.

This looks tighter than Chelsea's higher league position implies. Brighton's home cohesion against visitors who've been leaking on the road makes the hosts more competitive than they might appear on paper.