Brentford head into this one in uninspiring form, picking up just one win from their last five and drawing three of those outings. Crystal Palace are not much better on the road, losing two of their last five away days, though they did manage a win in that run. The sole recent H2H meeting went Palace's way, which is worth noting even in a limited sample.

The goal data is where this gets interesting. Brentford's home BTTS and Over 2.5 rates both sit at 56%, virtually in line with the league average, while Palace away games have produced over 2.5 goals in 59% of fixtures, nudging above the norm. Both sides have kept clean sheets in roughly 28-29% of games, suggesting neither defence is particularly imposing. Goals look likely but far from guaranteed.

With both sides in inconsistent form and little separating them defensively, this looks tighter than a mid-table versus lower-mid-table contest might suggest. Palace are quietly undervalued here as a travelling side.