Arsenal arrive at the Emirates in commanding form, having won four of their last five and sitting top of the Premier League table. Their home record this season has been formidable - averaging 2.2 goals scored while conceding just 0.7 per game, with a clean sheet rate well above the league norm. That defensive solidity stands out when you consider the league average sits closer to 2.73 goals per game.

Fulham's away form is inconsistent - two wins, a draw, and two defeats from their last five on the road - and they've kept just one clean sheet in away fixtures all season, conceding 1.7 per game on their travels. The visitors do contribute to goals when away from home, with BTTS landing in over half their away matches.

The data suggests Arsenal's defensive structure at home makes this a low-scoring affair rather than an open game. This looks more comfortable for the hosts than Fulham's occasional away results might imply.