Viking vs Kristiansund — Eliteserien result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 28.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Viking
76%
pick · result
Draw
14%
Kristiansund
11%
Final score
8–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Viking win 75.8% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Viking win. Expected goals 2.81–0.93 against 8–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–0 (9.4%), 3–0 (8.9%), 2–1 (8.6%). It finished 8–1.
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Viking
| 14 Mar | A | vs HamKam | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | H | vs Molde | 4–1 | W |
| 6 Apr | A | vs Valerenga | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | H | vs Bodo/Glimt | 5–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Brann | 3–2 | W |
Kristiansund
| 15 Mar | H | vs Brann | 3–2 | W |
| 6 Apr | H | vs Bodo/Glimt | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Tromso | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | H | vs Fredrikstad | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | vs Aalesund | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Viking (Home · 12 matches) | Kristiansund (Away · 13 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 75.0% | 61.5% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 61.5% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.75 | 3.38 |
Home stats use Viking's home record; away stats use Kristiansund's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.