Viking vs KFUM Oslo — Eliteserien forecast, Sunday, 8 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Viking
80%
Draw
12%
KFUM Oslo
8%
Expected goals
3.13–0.95
Viking · KFUM Oslo
Viking win 80% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 3–0 (8.7%), 2–0 (8.4%), 3–1 (8.3%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 59% of simulations.
Those three cover 25% of outcomes; the other 75% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Viking score at least twice in 82%; KFUM Oslo in 25%.
Scoreline distribution
KFUM Oslo goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 5.0 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 8.4 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.7 | 8.3 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 7.9 | 7.6 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Rows: Viking goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| Market reference | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| Metis Forecast | 80% | 12% | 8% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Viking | 1.21 |
| Draw | 7.53 |
| KFUM Oslo | 11.18 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 02 Nov · 05:06 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Viking
| 14 Mar | A | vs HamKam | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | H | vs Molde | 4–1 | W |
| 6 Apr | A | vs Valerenga | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | H | vs Bodo/Glimt | 5–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Brann | 3–2 | W |
KFUM Oslo
| 15 Mar | H | vs Start | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | A | vs Fredrikstad | 1–3 | L |
| 7 Apr | H | vs Sandefjord | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | A | vs Aalesund | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Apr | A | vs HamKam | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
| 10 May 26 | KFUM OslovsViking | 0 – 2 |
Viking: 1W 0D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Viking (Home · 12 matches) | KFUM Oslo (Away · 12 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 75.0% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 75.0% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 8.3% |
| Avg goals | 4.75 | 3.33 |
Home stats use Viking's home record; away stats use KFUM Oslo's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.