Metis Forecast
model onlyViking
83%
Draw
11%
Aalesund
5%
Viking 3.22 xGexpected goals0.79 xG Aalesund
Viking win 83% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (10.1%).
Viking score at least twice in 83%; Aalesund in 19%.
3–0 10.1%2–0 9.4%4–0 8.1%3–1 8.0%2–1 7.4%4–1 6.4%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 9.4 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 10.1 | 8.0 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 8.1 | 6.4 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 10.0 | 8.0 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
rows = Viking goals · columns = Aalesund goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score53%
Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals57%
Over 4.5 goals37%
Viking clean sheet45%
Aalesund clean sheet4%
Viking score 2+83%
Aalesund score 2+19%
Viking score 3+62%
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Viking
| 14 Mar | A | vs HamKam | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | H | vs Molde | 4–1 | W |
| 6 Apr | A | vs Valerenga | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | H | vs Bodo/Glimt | 5–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Brann | 3–2 | W |
Aalesund
| 15 Mar | H | vs Lillestrom | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | A | vs Start | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Apr | H | vs Fredrikstad | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | H | vs KFUM Oslo | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Bodo/Glimt | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
| 26 Jul 26 | AalesundvsViking | 1 – 1 |
Viking: 0W 1D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Viking (Home) | Aalesund (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 71.4% | 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 42.9% |
| Clean sheet | 28.6% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.71 | 3.14 |
Home stats use Viking's home record; away stats use Aalesund's away record this season.