Tromso vs Bodo/Glimt — Eliteserien forecast, Sunday, 8 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Tromso
13%
Draw
17%
Bodo/Glimt
70%
Expected goals
1.07–2.22
Tromso · Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt win 70% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–2 (13.7%), 0–2 (10.1%), 0–1 (9.8%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 61% of simulations.
Those three cover 34% of outcomes; the other 66% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Tromso score at least twice in 28%; Bodo/Glimt in 68%.
Scoreline distribution
Bodo/Glimt goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.5 | 9.8 | 10.0 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 | 2.2 | 7.9 | 13.7 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 2.0 |
| 2 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| 3 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Tromso goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| Market reference | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| Metis Forecast | 13% | 17% | 70% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Tromso | 7.03 |
| Draw | 5.31 |
| Bodo/Glimt | 1.39 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 02 Nov · 05:06 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Tromso
| 15 Mar | H | vs Fredrikstad | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | A | vs Brann | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Apr | H | vs Rosenborg | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | H | vs Kristiansund | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Apr | H | vs Lillestrom | 0–0 | D |
Bodo/Glimt
| 6 Apr | A | vs Kristiansund | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Viking | 0–5 | L |
| 15 Apr | A | vs Sarpsborg 08 | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Aalesund | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | vs Lillestrom | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 16 May 26 | Bodo/GlimtvsTromso | 5 – 0 |
Tromso: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Tromso (Home · 12 matches) | Bodo/Glimt (Away · 12 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 33.3% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 41.7% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| Avg goals | 2.67 | 3.08 |
Home stats use Tromso's home record; away stats use Bodo/Glimt's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.